Skeptical Science New Analysis for Week #15 2022

Local weather change communications & cognition CSCC

Impact of climate change information of university students in Turkey on responsibility and environmental behavior through awareness and perceived risk
Yilmaz et al. Atmosphere, Improvement and Sustainability
Open Entry 10.1007/s10668-022-02319-1

Climate Action (Goal 13): The role of climate beliefs, health security and tourism prioritisation in 30 Sub-Saharan African countries
Amadu & Adongo Climatic Change
10.1007/s10584-022-03333-y

Too many ways to help: How to promote climate change mitigation behaviors
Andrews et al. Journal of Environmental Psychology
Open Entry 10.1016/j.jenvp.2022.101806

Discussion of Climate Change on Reddit: Polarized Discourse or Deliberative Debate?

Treen et al, Environmental Communications

Open Entry 10.1080/17524032.2022.2050776

Climate change perception in Romania
Cheval et al. Theoretical and Utilized Climatology
Open Entry pdf 10.1007/s00704-022-04041-4

Agronomy, animal husbundry, meals manufacturing & local weather change AGCC

(provisional hyperlink) Climate vulnerability assessment of key fishery resources in the Northern Humboldt Current System~

Carbon footprint and carbon neutrality pathway of green tea in China
HE et al. Advances in Local weather Change Analysis
Open Entry 10.1016/j.accre.2022.04.001

Climate change adaptation processes seen through a resilience lens: Norwegian farmers’ handling of the dry summer of 2018
Beitnes et al. Environmental Science & Coverage
Open Entry 10.1016/j.envsci.2022.03.019

Frost risk by dwindling snow cover
Kersebaum Nature Local weather Change
10.1038/s41558-022-01334-4

Explaining radical policy change: Norwegian climate policy and the ban on cultivating peatlands
Farstad et al. World Environmental Change
Open Entry 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2022.102517

Farmer identities: facilitating stability and change in agricultural system transitions
Letourneau & Davidson Environmental Sociology
Open Entry 10.1080/23251042.2022.2064207

Winter warming stimulates vegetative growth and alters fruit quality of blackcurrant (Ribes nigrum)
Pagter & Kjær Worldwide Journal of Biometeorology
10.1007/s00484-022-02284-4

Compounding precipitation effect in modulating maize yield response to global warming
Ban et al. Worldwide Journal of Climatology
10.1002/joc.7652

Impact of Climate Change on Crops Adaptation and Strategies to Tackle Its Outcome: A Review
Raza et al. Crops
Open Entry 10.3390/plants8020034

Hydrology & local weather change HYCC

(provisional hyperlink) Intra-annual variation of high and low-flow extremes associated with land use and climate change in the Upper Tekeze of the Nile river basin

Future changes in mean and extreme precipitation over the Mediterranean and Sahara regions using Bias-Corrected CMIP6 models
Babaousmail et al. Worldwide Journal of Climatology
10.1002/joc.7644

Projected changes in meteorological drought over East Africa inferred from bias-adjusted CMIP6 models
Ayugi et al. Pure Hazards
Open Entry pdf 10.1007/s11069-022-05341-8

Future changes in extreme precipitation over the San Francisco Bay Area: Dependence on atmospheric river and extratropical cyclone events
Patricola et al. Climate and Local weather Extremes
Open Entry 10.1016/j.wace.2022.100440

(provisional hyperlink) Decadal Background for Active Extreme Drought Episodes in the Decade of 2010–19 over Southeastern Mainland Asia

Attribution of 2020 hurricane season extreme rainfall to human-induced climate change
Reed et al. Nature Communications
Open Entry pdf 10.1038/s41467-022-29379-1

Extreme Precipitation on Consecutive Days Occurs More Often in a Warming Climate
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Open Entry pdf 10.1175/bams-d-21-0140.1

Local weather change economics

Why are some countries cleaner than others? New evidence from macroeconomic governance
Akan et al. Atmosphere, Improvement and Sustainability
Open Entry pdf 10.1007/s10668-022-02298-3

How Do Carbon Taxes Affect Emissions? Plant-Level Evidence from Manufacturing
Ahmadi et al. Environmental and Useful resource Economics
Open Entry pdf 10.1007/s10640-022-00678-x

Carbon price prediction model based on adaptive variational mode decomposition and optimized extreme learning machine
Solar & Xu Worldwide Journal of Environmental Science and Know-how
10.1007/s13762-021-03871-5

Local weather change and the round financial system

Impact of a methane emission tax on circular economy scenarios in small wastewater treatment plants
Michalovicz & Bilotta Atmosphere, Improvement and Sustainability
Open Entry pdf 10.1007/s10668-022-02317-3

Local weather change mitigation public coverage analysis GPCC

Community science and the design of climate governance
Barry Climatic Change
Open Entry 10.1007/s10584-021-03295-7

(provisional hyperlink) How injustice can lead to energy policy failure: A case study from Guatemala

Does a Carbon Tax Reduce CO2 Emissions? Evidence from British Columbia
Pretis SSRN Digital Journal
10.2139/ssrn.3329512

Navigating the political: An analysis of political calibration of integrated assessment modelling in light of the 1.5 °C goal
van Beek et al. Environmental Science & Coverage
Open Entry 10.1016/j.envsci.2022.03.024

A novel cluster based multi-index nonlinear ensemble framework for carbon price forecasting
Wang & Zhuang Atmosphere, Improvement and Sustainability
10.1007/s10668-022-02299-2

Top-down or bottom-up? Norwegian climate mitigation policy as a contested hybrid of policy approaches
Weiglein Nature
Open Entry 10.1038/429613a

Re-thinking procurement incentives for electric vehicles to achieve net-zero emissions
Nunes et al. Nature Sustainability
Open Entry pdf 10.1038/s41893-022-00862-3

Local weather change adaptation & adaptation public coverage analysis

The Role of Regional Connections in Planning for Future Power System Operations under Climate Extremes
Dyreson et al. Earth’s Future
Open Entry pdf 10.1029/2021ef002554

Implementing a knowledge system: Lessons from the global stewardship of climate services
Guido et al. World Environmental Change
10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2022.102516

Compound urban crises
Westman et al. Ambio
Open Entry pdf 10.1007/s13280-021-01697-6

Local weather change impacts on human well being CCHH

(provisional hyperlink) Changes in heat stress considering temperature, humidity, and wind over East Asia under RCP8.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios

Using clustering, statistical modeling, and climate change projections to analyze recent and future region-specific compound ozone and temperature burden over Europe
Jahn & Hertig GeoHealth
Open Entry pdf 10.1029/2021gh000561

Future population exposure to daytime and nighttime heat waves in South Asia
Ullah et al. Earth’s Future
10.1029/2021ef002511

Local weather change impacts on human tradition

Climate change impacts on future driving and walking conditions in Finland, Norway and Sweden
Freistetter et al. Regional Environmental Change
Open Entry pdf 10.1007/s10113-022-01920-4

Different

(provisional hyperlink) Intensification of Pacific trade wind and related changes in the relationship between sea surface temperature and sea level pressure

Knowledgeable opinion, nudges & main initiatives IOPN

(provisional hyperlink) Will the regime ever break? Assessing socio-political and economic pressures to climate action and European oil majors’ response (2005-2019)
10.1080/14693062.2022.2044283

The Impact of Neglecting Climate Change and Variability on ERCOT’s Forecasts of Electricity Demand in Texas
Lee & Dessler Climate, Local weather, and Society
Open Entry 10.1175/wcas-d-21-0140.1

WMO Global Annual to Decadal Climate Update: A Prediction for 2021–25
Hermanson et al. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Open Entry pdf 10.1175/bams-d-20-0311.1

The Humanitarian Sector Needs Clear Job Profiles for Climate Science Translators Now More than Ever
Enenkel & Kruczkiewicz Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Open Entry pdf 10.1175/bams-d-20-0263.1

Who is the Anthropos in the Anthropocene?
Hoelle & Kawa Kawa Widhianto Szerszynski Gunaratnam Ernstson Annals of the American Affiliation of Geographers
Open Entry pdf 10.1080/24694452.2020.1842171

Articles/Studies from Businesses and Non-Governmental Organizations Addressing Points of Local weather Change

Climate Change Impacts Across California Crosscutting Issues, California Legislative Analyst’s Workplace (LAO)

Addressing the widespread impacts of local weather change represents a big problem for the state, and one that can more and more occupy the California legislature’s agenda within the coming years. A altering local weather presents California with 5 key local weather hazards: (1) greater temperatures and excessive warmth occasions, (2) extra extreme wildfires, (3) extra frequent and intense droughts, (4) flooding resulting from excessive precipitation occasions, and (5) coastal flooding and erosion from sea-level rise. These hazards will threaten public well being, security, and well-being—together with from life-threatening occasions, injury to private and non-private property and infrastructure, and impaired pure sources.

Word: The LAO additionally produced stories on local weather change results on California’s transportation, well being, housing, Okay-12 schooling, and, staff and employers. These six stories, which grew out of an preliminary challenge carried out for the Speaker of the California Meeting, are supposed to assist policymakers take into consideration how local weather change will influence varied sectors and, consequently, what key corresponding coverage and financial points the California legislature will face within the coming years. Given the complexity of the problems, these stories don’t include express suggestions or a particular path ahead; slightly, they’re supposed as framing paperwork to assist the Legislature undertake a local weather lens throughout a number of coverage areas.

Europe’s Land Future? Opportunities to use Europe’s land to fight climate change and improve biodiversity— and why proposed policies could undermine both, Searchinger et al., Princeton College and Middle for Coverage Analysis on Power and the Atmosphere

The European Union has bold targets to scale back its greenhouse gasoline emissions and to revive its depleted biodiversity. To realize every objective, diverting agricultural land and manufacturing forests to different makes use of should play a key function. Such various makes use of may intention to extend carbon storage and biodiversity by restoring habitats in Europe. Much less mentioned, these targets may additionally embody preserving carbon storage and biodiversity overseas by reversing Europe’s giant, web imports of agricultural merchandise. These web imports imply that Europe’s international land footprint is contributing considerably to deforestation and habitat loss overseas. To contribute to those targets, Europe should cut back what might be known as its land carbon footprint. This footprint is the diminished carbon storage in vegetation and soils on agricultural and forest lands used to provide Europe’s consumption of wooden and agricultural merchandise. The authors discover that Europe has vital potential to take action and identifies potential priorities for carbon sequestration and biodiversity restoration.

How Climate Change May Affect the U.S. Economy, Weinstock and Leggett, US Congressional Analysis Service

The authors start with a dialogue of potential mechanisms by means of which local weather change may have an effect on the U.S. financial system, together with productiveness, enterprise funding, and sector impacts. They then study a few of the analysis into the financial results of local weather change in addition to the constraints of such analysis. The authors don’t evaluate analysis on how insurance policies to mitigate local weather change would have an effect on the financial system. Slightly, they evaluate analysis on the financial results of local weather change given particular local weather outcomes. The analysis reviewed is meant to offer “what if” eventualities slightly than a “greatest guess” of future outcomes.

Statement of Principles for Climate-Related Financial Risk Management for Large Financial Institutions, Federal Deposit Insurance coverage Company

Discover of proposed coverage assertion; request for remark. The Federal Deposit Insurance coverage Company is requesting remark by June 3, 2022, on draft rules that would supply a high-level framework for the protected and sound administration of exposures to climate-related monetary dangers. Though all monetary establishments, no matter measurement, might have materials exposures to climate-related monetary dangers, these draft rules are focused on the largest monetary establishments, these with over $100 billion in whole consolidated belongings. The draft rules are supposed to help efforts by giant monetary establishments to concentrate on key points of climate-related monetary danger administration.

Climate change increased rainfall associated with tropical cyclones hitting highly vulnerable communities in Madagascar, Mozambique & Malawi, Otto et al., World Climate Attribution Initiative

Madagascar, Mozambique, Malawi, and neighboring nations suffered extreme flooding after a collection of tropical storms, together with three cyclones, hit the area, beginning with storms Ana and Batsirai in January and February 2022. Most impacts have been brought on by flooding. The authors assessed the rainfall related to tropical storms, measured because the 3-day annual most. A measure which is brief sufficient to exclude rainfall from different occasions that happen near the occasion in query however lengthy sufficient to embody the total impacts. To find out the function of local weather change, the authors mixed observations with local weather fashions. They concluded that greenhouse gasoline and aerosol emissions are partly answerable for the noticed will increase in flooding.

Atmospheric implications of increased hydrogen use, Warwick et al., Division of Enterprise, Power, and Industrial Technique, Authorities of the UK

Use of hydrogen (H2) as an alternative to carbon-containing fossil fuels akin to pure gasoline would stop emissions of carbon dioxide into the ambiance, with vital local weather advantages. However, any leakage of hydrogen will have an effect on atmospheric composition with implications for air high quality and have an oblique warming impact on local weather, partially offsetting a few of the local weather advantages of the discount in carbon dioxide. The authors used present local weather and atmospheric chemistry fashions to discover the atmospheric impacts of a world hydrogen financial system. They modelled atmospheric impacts and calculated the radiative forcing ensuing from hydrogen emissions and hydrogen’s international warming potential. The authors suggest that hydrogen leakage be diminished, and that consideration be given to how hydrogen is used to attenuate the atmospheric impacts of power use.

Fugitive Hydrogen Emissions in a Future Hydrogen Economy, Frazer-Nash Consultancy

Hydrogen is more likely to play a big function within the decarbonization of the UK’s future power system. Nevertheless, there’s an rising physique of proof that hydrogen is itself an oblique greenhouse gasoline and up to date analysis means that it has a World Warming Potential 11 occasions that of carbon dioxide (over a 100-year time horizon). Hydrogen, by its nature, is tough to include and understanding how a lot hydrogen may very well be emitted to the ambiance in a future hydrogen power system is essential for coverage growth. This authors recognized and quantified the completely different mechanisms for fugitive hydrogen emissions in a future 2050 hydrogen financial system. These embody all mechanisms the place hydrogen could also be launched to the ambiance together with unintended leaks, e.g.. from joints, pipework and storage, in addition to deliberate purging or venting.

Acquiring articles with out journal subscriptions

We all know it is irritating that many articles we cite right here aren’t free to learn. One-off paid entry charges are usually astronomically priced, appropriate for akin to “On a Heuristic Point of View Concerning the Production and Transformation of Light”  however not as of venture on unknowns. With a median world revenue of US$ 9,373, for many of us US$ 42 is important cash to wager on an article’s relevance and significance. 

• Unpaywall provides a browser extension for Chrome and Firefox that robotically signifies when an article is freely accessible and gives instant entry with out additional bother. Unpaywall can be unscammy, works effectively, is itself provided free to make use of. The organizers (a reputable nonprofit) report a few 50% success price

• The weekly New Analysis catch is checked in opposition to the Unpaywall database with accessible gadgets being flagged. Particularly for just-published articles this mechansim might fail. If you happen to’re keen on an article title and it’s not listed right here as “open entry,” be sure you examine the hyperlink anyway. 

How is New Analysis assembled?

Most articles showing listed here are discovered by way of  RSS feeds from journal publishers, filtered by search phrases to provide uncooked output for evaluation of relevance. 

Related articles are then queried in opposition to the Unpaywall database, to determine open entry articles and expose helpful metadata for articles showing within the database. 

The target of New Analysis is not to forged a tinge on scientific outcomes, to paint readers’ impressions. Therefore candidate articles are assessed by way of two metrics solely:

• Was an article deemed of enough advantage by a group of journal editors and peer reviewers? The actual fact of journal RSS output assigns a “sure” to this robotically. 
• Is an article related to the subject of anthropogenic local weather change? Attributable to filter overlap with different publication subjects of inquiry, of a typical week’s 550 or so enter articles about 1/4 of RSS output makes the reduce.

Just a few journals supply public entry to “preprint” variations of articles for which the evaluate course of just isn’t but full. For some key journals this all of the point out we’ll see in RSS feeds, so we embody such gadgets in New Analysis. These are flagged as “preprint.”

The part “Knowledgeable opinion, nudges & main initiatives” contains some gadgets that aren’t scientific analysis per se however fall as an alternative into the class of “views,” observations of implications of analysis findings, areas needing consideration, and so forth.

What does “(provisional hyperlink)” imply?

When the enter listing for New Analysis is processed, some articles don’t produce a consequence from the journal databases we make use of. Often it is because the writer has not but provided data to doi.org for the given article. In these circumstances and with a purpose to nonetheless embody well timed itemizing of articles, we make use of an alternate search tactic. Whereas this technique is normally right, typically the hyperlink proven will result in an incorrect vacation spot (out there time doesn’t at all times allow handbook checking of those). We invite readers to submit corrections in feedback under.

Every version of New Analysis is reprocessed some two weeks after intitial publication to catch stragglers into the DOI ecosystem. Many “provisional hyperlinks” will find yourself being corrected as a part of this course of. 

Ideas

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Earlier version

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