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Skeptical Science New Analysis for Week #11 2022

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Skeptical Science New Research for Week #11 2022

Posted on 17 March 2022 by Doug Bostrom, Marc Kodack

Learn earlier than burning

Authors Aall, Wanvik & Dale are more likely to trigger a ripple of kneejerks with their paper Climate Risks of the Transition to a Renewable Energy Society: The Need for Extending the Research Agenda. Or so we would anticipate, provided that the work identifies potential particular person failure modes in the important thing arenas of local weather mitigation, adaptation and vitality transition. There are lots of pet ideas concerned, and essentially the authors threat actors in these areas feeling insulted even whereas the analysis is just working towards what sailors name “forehandedness,” anticipation of and preparation for what would possibly go improper. 

Mighty forces are in play as we confront our local weather problem. Not to mention “inside” issues with mitigation, adaptation and transition, the inevitable collision of those three titanic domains guarantees to disclose “unintended outcomes.” The authors talk about a few of these, concluding (as per the work’s title) that we’d like extra data in massive portions in order to keep away from ugly surprises brought on by good intentions. 

Different notables: 

Overwintering fires rising in eastern Siberia. The hearth season is (not) ending.

The value of early methane mitigation in preserving Arctic summer sea ice. As seen in different analysis, Arctic sea ice has a profound impact on local weather and climate in areas under the Arctic circle. No matter we will do to husband vanishing summer time sea ice within the Arctic wil behoove us. Here is a technique to do this. 

Alpine permafrost could account for a quarter of thawed carbon based on Plio-Pleistocene paleoclimate analogue A quick look at our GHG supplys & sinks, flux part will affirm that beforehand unrealized issues aren’t welcome surprises. This paper surprises.

Wildfires enhance phytoplankton production in tropical oceans Not what one might name unalloyed good, however enhanced phytoplankton main manufacturing is vastly vital to the biosphere and as properly the carbon cycle. This sort of suggestions can find yourself in local weather fashions and is vital to find. 

The entire above open entry and free to learn. 

Housekeeping

With 173 articles on this week’s listing that is the most important version of New Analysis but, however most likely not ever. “Pure inside variability” of the local weather analysis group’s publication exercise is the rationale why. It’s kind of scary to suppose that— as a matter of statistical certainty— we’re certainly lacking the mark on a full listing, together with vital findings we must learn, study and know. 

173 articles in 58 journals by 784 contributing authors

Bodily science of local weather change, results

Vegetation physiological response to increasing atmospheric CO2 slows the decreases in the seasonal amplitude of temperature
He et al. Geophysical Analysis Letters
10.1029/2022gl097829

Quantifying memory and persistence in the atmosphere–land and ocean carbon system
Jonas et al. Earth System Dynamics
Open Entry pdf 10.5194/esd-13-439-2022

Observations of local weather change, results

Responses of horizontally expanding oceanic oxygen minimum zones to climate change based on observations
Zhou et al. Geophysical Analysis Letters
Open Entry pdf 10.1029/2022gl097724

Increasing concurrent drought probability in global main crop production countries
Qi et al. Geophysical Analysis Letters
10.1029/2021gl097060

Recent enhancement and prolonged occurrence of MJO over the Indian Ocean and their impact on Indian summer monsoon rainfall
Sasikumar et al. Local weather Dynamics
10.1007/s00382-022-06230-3

The eastward expansion of the climate humidification trend in northwest China and the synergistic influences on the circulation mechanism
Zhang et al. Local weather Dynamics
10.1007/s00382-022-06221-4

Overwintering fires rising in eastern Siberia
Xu et al. Environmental Analysis Letters
Open Entry 10.1088/1748-9326/ac59aa

A long-lasting precipitation deficit in South China during autumn-winter 2020/21: combined effect of ENSO and Arctic sea ice
Solar et al. Journal of Geophysical Analysis: Atmospheres
10.1029/2021jd035584

Determining the role of climate change in India’s past forest loss
Haughan et al. World Change Biology
10.1111/gcb.16161

Enhanced jet stream waviness induced by suppressed tropical Pacific convection during boreal summer
Solar et al. Nature Communications
Open Entry pdf 10.1038/s41467-022-28911-7

A probabilistic climate change assessment for Europe
Moghim et al. Worldwide Journal of Climatology
10.1002/joc.7604

(provisional hyperlink) A synthetic view of rainfall intensification in the West African Sahel

Trend analysis of hydro-meteorological parameters in the Jhelum River basin, North Western Himalayas
Umar et al. Theoretical and Utilized Climatology
Open Entry pdf 10.1007/s00704-022-04014-7

Instrumentation & observational strategies of local weather change, contributors, results

Quantifying albedo susceptibility biases in shallow clouds
Feingold et al.
Open Entry pdf 10.5194/acp-2021-859

Uncertainties in the global and continental surface solar radiation variations: inter-comparison of in-situ observations, reanalyses, and model simulations
Jiao et al. Local weather Dynamics
10.1007/s00382-022-06222-3

Examining partial-column density retrieval of lower-tropospheric CO2 from GOSAT target observations over global megacities
Kuze et al. Distant Sensing of Surroundings
Open Entry 10.1016/j.rse.2022.112966

Tracking vegetation phenology of pristine northern boreal peatlands by combining digital photography with CO2 flux and remote sensing data
Linkosalmi et al.
Open Entry pdf 10.5194/bg-2022-58

Modeling, simulation & projection of local weather change, results

Seamless Projections of Global Storm Surge and Ocean Waves under a Warming Climate
Shimura et al. Geophysical Analysis Letters
10.1029/2021gl097427

Changes in precipitation climatology for the Eastern Mediterranean using CORDEX RCMs, NHRCM and MRI-AGCM
Mesta et al. Atmospheric Analysis
10.1016/j.atmosres.2022.106140

A probabilistic climate change assessment for Europe
Moghim et al. Worldwide Journal of Climatology
10.1002/joc.7604

Increasing concurrent drought probability in global main crop production countries
Qi et al. Geophysical Analysis Letters
10.1029/2021gl097060

Increasing spatiotemporal proximity of heat and precipitation extremes in a warming world quantified by a large model ensemble
Raymond et al. Environmental Analysis Letters
Open Entry 10.1088/1748-9326/ac5712

Development of local weather & local weather results modeling, simulation & projection GCMA

On the Effect of Surface Friction and Upward Radiation of Energy on Equatorial Waves
Emanuel Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences
Open Entry pdf 10.1175/jas-d-21-0199.1

Machine learning of cloud types shows higher climate sensitivity is associated with lower cloud biases
Kuma et al.
Open Entry pdf 10.5194/acp-2022-184

Segmentation of global climate dataset into contiguous spatial units having quantitatively homogeneous climates
Netzel & Stepinski Worldwide Journal of Climatology
10.1002/joc.7606

Antarctic surface climate and surface mass balance in the Community Earth System Model version 2 (1850–2100)
Dunmire et al.
Open Entry pdf 10.5194/tc-2022-52

A hybrid regional climate downscaling for the southern Brazil coastal region
de Souza et al. Worldwide Journal of Climatology
10.1002/joc.7607

Combining global climate models using graph cuts
Thao et al. Local weather Dynamics
Open Entry pdf 10.1007/s00382-022-06213-4

Evaluation of Northern Hemisphere snow water equivalent in CMIP6 models during 1982–2014
Kouki et al. The Cryosphere
Open Entry pdf 10.5194/tc-16-1007-2022

Advanced testing of low, medium and high ECS CMIP6 GCM simulations versus ERA5-T2m
Scafetta Geophysical Analysis Letters
10.1029/2022gl097716

A Simple Coupled Model of the Wind–Evaporation–SST Feedback with a Role for Stability
Journal of Local weather
Open Entry pdf 10.1175/jcli-d-20-0895.1

Cryosphere & local weather change

The instantaneous impact of calving and thinning on the Larsen C Ice Shelf
Mitcham et al. The Cryosphere
Open Entry pdf 10.5194/tc-16-883-2022

Seasonal land ice-flow variability in the Antarctic Peninsula
Boxall et al.
Open Entry pdf 10.5194/tc-2022-55

Has substantial sea ice loss along the Siberian coast contributed to the 2020/21 winter cold wave in China?
Wang et al. Worldwide Journal of Climatology
10.1002/joc.7603

Greenland Ice Sheet daily surface melt flux observed from space
Zheng et al. Geophysical Analysis Letters
10.1029/2021gl096690

The Critical Role of Euro-Atlantic Blocking in Promoting Snowfall in Central Greenland
Pettersen et al. Journal of Geophysical Analysis: Atmospheres
10.1029/2021jd035776

The value of early methane mitigation in preserving Arctic summer sea ice
Solar et al. Environmental Analysis Letters
Open Entry 10.1088/1748-9326/ac4f10

Rapid seafloor changes associated with the degradation of Arctic submarine permafrost
Paull et al. Proceedings of the Nationwide Academy of Sciences
10.1073/pnas.2119105119

Sea stage & local weather change

Sea level changes mechanisms in the MPI-ESM under FAFMIP forcing conditions
Zhang et al. Local weather Dynamics
Open Entry pdf 10.1007/s00382-022-06231-2

Paleoclimate

Alpine permafrost could account for a quarter of thawed carbon based on Plio-Pleistocene paleoclimate analogue
Cheng et al. Nature Communications
Open Entry pdf 10.1038/s41467-022-29011-2

Past terrestrial hydroclimate sensitivity controlled by Earth system feedbacks
Feng et al. Nature Communications
Open Entry pdf 10.1038/s41467-022-28814-7

Sea ice changes in the southwest Pacific sector of the Southern Ocean during the last 140 000 years
Jones et al. Local weather of the Previous
Open Entry pdf 10.5194/cp-18-465-2022

Marine carbon cycle response to a warmer Southern Ocean: the case of the last interglacial
Choudhury et al.
Open Entry pdf 10.5194/cp-2021-98

(provisional hyperlink) Threshold in orbital forcing for Saharan greening lowers with rising levels of greenhouse gases

Biology & local weather change, associated geochemistry

Decoupling between ecosystem photosynthesis and transpiration: a last resort against overheating
Krich et al. Environmental Analysis Letters
Open Entry 10.1088/1748-9326/ac583e

The response of ants to climate change
Parr & Bishop Bush Mudd Byeon Uittenbroek Hart Ribeiro-Neto LOPATINA Jonas World Change Biology
Open Entry pdf 10.1111/gcb.16140

Determining the role of climate change in India’s past forest loss
Haughan et al. World Change Biology
10.1111/gcb.16161

Imminent loss of climate space for permafrost peatlands in Europe and Western Siberia
Fewster et al. Nature Local weather Change
10.1038/s41558-022-01296-7

Changes in trophic structure of an exploited fish community at the centennial scale are linked to fisheries and climate forces
Durante et al. Scientific Studies
Open Entry pdf 10.1038/s41598-022-08391-x

Physiological acclimatization in Hawaiian corals following a 22-month shift in baseline seawater temperature and pH
McLachlan et al. Scientific Studies
Open Entry pdf 10.1038/s41598-022-06896-z

Effects of increased drought in Amazon forests under climate change: Separating the roles of canopy responses and soil moisture
Wey et al. Journal of Geophysical Analysis: Biogeosciences
Open Entry pdf 10.1029/2021jg006525

Smaller adult fish size in warmer water is not explained by elevated metabolism
Wootton et al. Ecology Letters
Open Entry pdf 10.1111/ele.13989

Projected climate-driven changes in pollen emission season length and magnitude over the continental United States
Zhang & Steiner Nature Communications
Open Entry pdf 10.1038/s41467-022-28764-0

Metabolic plasticity improves lobster’s resilience to ocean warming but not to climate-driven novel species interactions
Oellermann et al. Scientific Studies
Open Entry pdf 10.1038/s41598-022-08208-x

Wildfires enhance phytoplankton production in tropical oceans
Liu et al. Nature Communications
Open Entry pdf 10.1038/s41467-022-29013-0

Induction and potential role of summer dormancy to enhance persistence of perennial grasses under warmer climates
Shihan et al. Journal of Ecology
10.1111/1365-2745.13869

Arctic greening and browning: Challenges and a cascade of complexities
Phoenix & Treharne World Change Biology
10.1111/gcb.16118

Buffering Climate Change with Nature
Climate, Local weather, and Society
Open Entry 10.1175/wcas-d-21-0059.1

Key traits of living fossil Ginkgo biloba are highly variable but not influenced by climate – Implications for palaeo-pCO2 reconstructions and climate sensitivity
Steinthorsdottir et al. World and Planetary Change
Open Entry 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2022.103786

(provisional hyperlink) Response of Cymodocea nodosa to ocean acidification and warming in the Canary Islands: Direct and indirect effects

Climate-change-driven growth decline of European beech forests
Martinez del Castillo et al. Communications Biology
Open Entry pdf 10.1038/s42003-022-03107-3

Higher Maximum Temperature Increases the Frequency of Water Drinking in Mountain Gorillas (Gorilla beringei beringei)
Wright et al. Frontiers in Conservation Science
Open Entry pdf 10.3389/fcosc.2022.738820

The role of large wild animals in climate change mitigation and adaptation
Malhi et al. Present Biology
Open Entry pdf 10.1016/j.cub.2022.01.041

GHG sources & sinks, flux, associated geochemistry

Permafrost peat carbon approaching a climatic tipping point
Nature Local weather Change
10.1038/s41558-022-01298-5

(provisional hyperlink) Tropical methane emissions explain large fraction of recent changes in global atmospheric methane growth rate

(provisional hyperlink) A striking growth of CO 2 emissions from the global cement industry driven by new facilities in emerging countries

Mixotrophic plankton foraging behaviour linked to carbon export
Cohen Nature Communications
Open Entry pdf 10.1038/s41467-022-28868-7

(provisional hyperlink) Fairness critically conditions the carbon budget allocation across countries

Mucospheres produced by a mixotrophic protist impact ocean carbon cycling
Larsson et al. Nature Communications
Open Entry pdf 10.1038/s41467-022-28867-8

Sediment oxygen consumption: Role in the global marine carbon cycle
Jørgensen et al. Earth
Open Entry 10.1016/j.earscirev.2022.103987

(provisional hyperlink) Attribution of space-time variability in global-ocean dissolved inorganic carbon

The impact of urbanization on carbon emissions: both from heterogeneity and mechanism test
Tan et al. Surroundings, Growth and Sustainability
10.1007/s10668-022-02246-1

Space evidence of enhanced photosynthetic carbon uptake under fragmented temperate forests
Li et al. Environmental Analysis Letters
Open Entry 10.1088/1748-9326/ac592c

Increased precipitation and nitrogen addition accelerate the temporal increase of soil respiration during eight-year old-field grassland succession
Zhang et al. World Change Biology
10.1111/gcb.16159

A region-scale decoupling effort analysis of carbon dioxide emissions from the perspective of electric power industry: a case study of China
Li et al. Surroundings, Growth and Sustainability
10.1007/s10668-022-02232-7

(provisional hyperlink) Driving factors on greenhouse gas emissions in permafrost region of Daxing’an Mountains, Northeast China

Temporal patterns and potential drivers of CO2 emission from dry sediments of a large river
Koschorreck et al.
Open Entry pdf 10.5194/bg-2022-62

Satellite-observed shifts in C3/C4 abundance in Australian grasslands are associated with rainfall patterns
Xie et al. Distant Sensing of Surroundings
10.1016/j.rse.2022.112983

The impact of the South-East Madagascar Bloom on the oceanic CO2 sink
Metzl et al.
Open Entry pdf 10.5194/bg-2021-283

Ideas and perspectives: Enhancing research and monitoring of carbon pools and land-to-atmosphere greenhouse gases exchange in developing countries
Kim et al. Biogeosciences
Open Entry pdf 10.5194/bg-19-1435-2022

Projected reversal of oceanic stable carbon isotope ratio depth gradient with continued anthropogenic carbon emissions
Kwon et al. Communications Earth & Surroundings
Open Entry pdf 10.1038/s43247-022-00388-8

Reduced methane emissions in former permafrost soils driven by vegetation and microbial changes following drainage
Keuschnig et al. World Change Biology
Open Entry pdf 10.1111/gcb.16137

Closing the winter gap – Year-round measurements of soil CO2 emission sources in Arctic tundra
Pedron et al. Geophysical Analysis Letters
10.1029/2021gl097347

The importance of hydrology in routing terrestrial carbon to the atmosphere via global streams and rivers
Liu et al. Proceedings of the Nationwide Academy of Sciences
10.1073/pnas.2106322119

Limited increases in savanna carbon stocks over decades of fire suppression
Zhou et al. Nature
10.1038/s41586-022-04438-1

Florida’s urban stormwater ponds are net sources of carbon to the atmosphere despite increased carbon burial over time
Goeckner et al. Communications Earth & Surroundings
Open Entry pdf 10.1038/s43247-022-00384-y

CO2 seize, sequestration science & engineering

Enhanced carbonation curing of cement pastes with dolomite additive
Guo et al. Greenhouse Gases: Science and Expertise
10.1002/ghg.2143

Downwind dispersion of CO2 from a major subsea blowout in shallow offshore waters
Oldenburg & Zhang Greenhouse Gases: Science and Expertise
10.1002/ghg.2144

Boosting climate change mitigation potential of perennial lignocellulosic crops grown on marginal lands
Martinez-Feria et al. Environmental Analysis Letters
Open Entry 10.1088/1748-9326/ac536e

An investigation on simultaneous freshwater production and CO2 capture using flue gas of a power plant
Soomro et al. Greenhouse Gases: Science and Expertise
10.1002/ghg.2146

Assessing the socio-economic effects of Carbon Capture, Utility and Storage investment from the perspective of carbon neutrality in China
Chen & Jiang Earth’s Future
10.1029/2021ef002523

Predictive energetic tuning of C-Nucleophiles for the electrochemical capture of carbon dioxide
Petersen et al. iScience
Open Entry pdf 10.1016/j.isci.2022.103997

The effects of energy-intensive meat production on CO2 emissions: evidence from extended environmental Kuznets framework
Bor et al. Environmental Science and Air pollution Analysis
10.1007/s11356-021-18372-8

Decarbonization

Will fiscal decentralization stimulate renewable energy development? Evidence from China
Zhang et al. Vitality Coverage
10.1016/j.enpol.2022.112893

Electricity storage and market power
Williams & Inexperienced Kemfert Wang Hedman Le Xie Telegrafi Guogang Liu Hinchliffe Tatarnikov Hajiesmaili Hajiesmaili Viassolo Liu Vahid-Pakdel Das Rajagopal Pousinho Dumbrava Kazemzadeh Ghiasi Pei Cuadrado Abeygunawardana Pinnarelli Coto de Sousa Maurya ?ekkeli Qiu Lin Tina Xu Abbes Valkealahti Braun Kong Spelling Zeng Liu Kravchuk Ehsan De Oliveira-De Jesus Vitality Coverage
Open Entry 10.1016/j.enpol.2022.112872

Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction Potentials in Europe by Sector: A Bootstrap-Based Nonparametric Efficiency Analysis
Krüger & Tarach Tarach Environmental and Useful resource Economics
Open Entry pdf 10.1007/s10640-022-00660-7

Structural Decomposition Analysis of Japan’s Energy Transitions and Related CO2 Emissions in 2005–2015 Using a Hybrid Input-Output Table
Ueda Environmental and Useful resource Economics
Open Entry pdf 10.1007/s10640-022-00650-9

Assessing energy transition costs: Sub-national challenges in Canada
Stringer & Joanis Joanis Vitality Coverage
10.1016/j.enpol.2022.112879

Solar park management and design to boost bumble bee populations
Blaydes et al. Environmental Analysis Letters
Open Entry 10.1088/1748-9326/ac5840

Climate Risks of the Transition to a Renewable Energy Society: The Need for Extending the Research Agenda
Aall et al. Climate, Local weather, and Society
Open Entry pdf 10.1175/wcas-d-21-0055.1

Battery technology and recycling alone will not save the electric mobility transition from future cobalt shortages
Zeng et al. Nature Communications
Open Entry pdf 10.1038/s41467-022-29022-z

Fossil fraction of CO2 emissions of biofuels
Sebos Carbon Administration
Open Entry pdf 10.1080/17583004.2022.2046173

Storage requirements in a 100% renewable electricity system: extreme events and inter-annual variability
Ruhnau & Qvist Environmental Analysis Letters
Open Entry 10.1088/1748-9326/ac4dc8

Urban climate change experiments in Gandhinagar, India
Somokanta City Local weather
10.1016/j.uclim.2022.101149

Electrostatic dust removal using adsorbed moisture–assisted charge induction for sustainable operation of solar panels
Panat & Varanasi Science Advances
10.1126/sciadv.abm0078

Geoengineering local weather

Future Geoengineering Scenarios: Balancing Policy Relevance and Scientific Significance
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Open Entry pdf 10.1175/bams-d-21-0201.1

‘Bog here, marshland there’: tensions in co-producing scientific knowledge on solar geoengineering in the Arctic
Mettiäinen et al. Environmental Analysis Letters
Open Entry 10.1088/1748-9326/ac5715

Local weather change communications & cognition

The Role of Late-Night Infotainment Comedy in Communicating Climate Change Consensus
Clarke et al.
10.31234/osf.io/ufg9r

Co-developing the IPCC frequently asked questions as an effective science communication tool
Connors et al. Climatic Change
Open Entry pdf 10.1007/s10584-021-03248-0

Discursive Strategies for Climate Change Reporting: A Case Study of The Mercury News
Parratt-Fernández et al. Environmental Communication
10.1080/17524032.2022.2048043

Green preferences
Busato et al. Surroundings, Growth and Sustainability
Open Entry pdf 10.1007/s10668-022-02179-9

Local Climate Change Reporting: Assessing the Impacts of Climate Journalism Workshops
Climate, Local weather, and Society
10.1175/wcas-d-21-0117.1

Current Practice in Climate Service Visualization: Taking the Pulse of the Providers’ Community
Terrado et al. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
10.1175/bams-d-21-0194.1

Agronomy, animal husbundry, meals manufacturing & local weather change

Avocados are toast
Findlay Nature Local weather Change
Open Entry 10.1038/s41558-022-01316-6

Influence of weather conditions and projected climate change scenarios on the suitability of Vitis vinifera cv. Carignan in Rioja DOCa, Spain
Ramos & Martínez de Toda Worldwide Journal of Biometeorology
Open Entry pdf 10.1007/s00484-022-02258-6

Comment on ‘Climate mitigation forestry—temporal trade-offs’
Gustavsson et al. Environmental Analysis Letters
Open Entry 10.1088/1748-9326/ac57e3

Reply to Comment on ‘Climate mitigation forestry—temporal trade-offs’
Skytt et al. Environmental Analysis Letters
Open Entry 10.1088/1748-9326/ac57e7

(provisional hyperlink) Interplays between changing biophysical and social dynamics under climate change: Implications for limits to sustainable adaptation in food systems

Sustainability of agricultural practices in Germany: a literature review along multiple environmental domains
Baaken Regional Environmental Change
Open Entry pdf 10.1007/s10113-022-01892-5

An experiential model of drought risk and future irrigation behaviors among central Minnesota farmers
Davenport et al. Climatic Change
10.1007/s10584-022-03320-3

Boosting climate change mitigation potential of perennial lignocellulosic crops grown on marginal lands
Martinez-Feria et al. Environmental Analysis Letters
Open Entry 10.1088/1748-9326/ac536e

Probabilistic impacts of compound dry and hot events on global gross primary production
Wu & Jiang Environmental Analysis Letters
Open Entry 10.1088/1748-9326/ac4c5b

(provisional hyperlink) Simulating resilience of rainfed wheat–based cropping systems of Iran und

Climate-driven trends in agricultural water requirement: an ERA5-based assessment at daily scale over 50 years
Rolle et al. Environmental Analysis Letters
Open Entry 10.1088/1748-9326/ac57e4

Impacts of heat stress on global cattle production during the 21st century: a modelling study
Thornton et al. The Lancet Planetary Well being
Open Entry pdf 10.1016/s2542-5196(22)00002-x

Hydrology & local weather change

Precipitation trends determine future occurrences of compound hot–dry events
Bevacqua et al. Nature Local weather Change
Open Entry pdf 10.1038/s41558-022-01309-5

Spatial and temporal analysis of observed trends in extreme precipitation events in different climatic zones of Nigeria
Ogolo & Matthew Theoretical and Utilized Climatology
10.1007/s00704-022-04006-7

Can Pakistan achieve sustainable water security? Climate change, population growth and development impacts to 2100
Kirby & Ahmad Sustainability Science
10.1007/s11625-022-01115-0

A framework for assessing freshwater vulnerability along China’s Belt and Road Initiative: An exposure, sensitivity and adaptive capacity approach
Battamo et al. Environmental Science & Coverage
10.1016/j.envsci.2022.03.001

Projections of severe droughts in future climate in Southeast Brazil: a case study in Southern Minas Gerais State, Brazil
Silva et al. Theoretical and Utilized Climatology
10.1007/s00704-022-03993-x

Hydrological intensification will increase the complexity of water resource management
Ficklin et al. Earth’s Future
Open Entry pdf 10.1029/2021ef002487

(provisional hyperlink) A synthetic view of rainfall intensification in the West African Sahel

(provisional hyperlink) Projected changes in the Tibetan Plateau snowpack resulting from rising global temperatures

Preparing for Long-Term Drought and Aridification
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Open Entry pdf 10.1175/bams-d-21-0321.1

Twenty-first century hydroclimate: A continually changing baseline, with more frequent extremes
Stevenson et al. Proceedings of the Nationwide Academy of Sciences
10.1073/pnas.2108124119

Local weather change economics

Signaling climate resilience to municipal bond markets: does membership in adaptation-focused voluntary clubs affect bond rating?
Ko & Prakash Prakash Climatic Change
Open Entry pdf 10.1007/s10584-022-03329-8

How can we pay for it all? Understanding the global challenge of financing climate change and sustainable development solutions
Park Journal of Environmental Research and Sciences
Open Entry pdf 10.1007/s13412-021-00715-z

Local weather change and the round economic system

Toward the closed-loop sustainability development model: a reverse logistics multi-criteria decision-making analysis
Shahidzadeh & Shokouhyar Surroundings, Growth and Sustainability
10.1007/s10668-022-02216-7

Local weather change mitigation public coverage analysis

Emissions from fossil fuels produced on US federal lands and waters present opportunities for climate mitigation
Ratledge et al. Climatic Change
Open Entry pdf 10.1007/s10584-021-03302-x

Toward Indigenous visions of nature-based solutions: an exploration into Canadian federal climate policy
Reed et al. Local weather Coverage
Open Entry pdf 10.1080/14693062.2022.2047585

(provisional hyperlink) Fairness critically conditions the carbon budget allocation across countries

Competing narratives of nature-based solutions: Leveraging the power of nature or dangerous distraction?
Novotney PsycEXTRA Dataset
Open Entry 10.1037/e515462010-016

Evaluating the small and medium sized enterprises motivating factors and influencing barriers about adoption of green practices
Wang et al. Surroundings, Growth and Sustainability
10.1007/s10668-022-02166-0

A dynamic model for CO2 emissions induced by urban transportation during 2005–2030, a case study of Mashhad, Iran
Heidari et al. Surroundings, Growth and Sustainability
10.1007/s10668-022-02240-7

Achieving Paris climate goals calls for increasing ambition of the Kigali Amendment
Purohit et al. Nature Local weather Change
Open Entry pdf 10.1038/s41558-022-01310-y

Class, climate change, and closed systems: inverted quarantine on Nantucket Island
Largesse Environmental Sociology
10.1080/23251042.2022.2042887

Comment on ‘From the Paris Agreement to corporate climate commitments: evaluation of seven methods for setting “science-based” emission targets’
Chang et al. Environmental Analysis Letters
Open Entry 10.1088/1748-9326/ac548c

Reply to Comment on ‘From the Paris Agreement to corporate climate commitments: evaluation of seven methods for setting “science-based” emission targets’
Bjørn et al. Environmental Analysis Letters
Open Entry 10.1088/1748-9326/ac548e

Does a trade-off exist between economic and environmental impacts of forest carbon payment programs?
Liu et al. Sustainability Science
10.1007/s11625-022-01114-1

Key areas and pathways for carbon emissions reduction in Beijing for the “Dual Carbon” targets
Huang et al. Vitality Coverage
10.1016/j.enpol.2022.112873

The influencing mechanism of financial development on CO2 emissions in China: double moderating effect of technological innovation and fossil energy dependence
Xiong et al. Surroundings, Growth and Sustainability
10.1007/s10668-022-02250-5

Alternative governmental carbon policies on populations of green and non-green supply chains in a competitive market
Nersesian et al. Surroundings, Growth and Sustainability
10.1007/s10668-022-02237-2

Local weather change adaptation & adaptation public coverage analysis

Climate risk insurance in Pacific Small Island Developing States: possibilities, challenges and vulnerabilities—a comprehensive review
Jain et al. Mitigation and Adaptation Methods for World Change
Open Entry pdf 10.1007/s11027-022-10002-z

Disaster risk reduction and climate policy implementation challenges in Canada and Australia
Raikes et al. Local weather Coverage
10.1080/14693062.2022.2048784

Beyond migration: a critical review of climate change induced displacement
Askland et al. Environmental Sociology
10.1080/23251042.2022.2042888

Climate change and Australia’s primary industries: factors hampering an effective and coordinated response
Darbyshire et al. Worldwide Journal of Biometeorology
Open Entry 10.1007/s00484-022-02265-7

Sixteen ways to adapt: a comparison of state-level climate change adaptation strategies in the federal states of Germany
King Regional Environmental Change
Open Entry pdf 10.1007/s10113-021-01870-3

Modelling a community resilience index for urban flood-prone areas of Kerala, India (CRIF)
Ali & George Pure Hazards
Open Entry pdf 10.1007/s11069-022-05299-7

(provisional hyperlink) Indicators of urban climate resilience (case study: Varamin, Iran)
10.1007/s11069-021-05174-x

Small islands and climate change: analysis of adaptation policy in the Cayman Islands
Johnston & Cooper Regional Environmental Change
Open Entry pdf 10.1007/s10113-022-01887-2

Local weather change impacts on human well being

Will population exposure to heat extremes intensify over Southeast Asia in a warmer world?
Solar et al. Environmental Analysis Letters
Open Entry 10.1088/1748-9326/ac48b6

Projected climate-driven changes in pollen emission season length and magnitude over the continental United States
Zhang & Steiner Nature Communications
Open Entry pdf 10.1038/s41467-022-28764-0

Climate change anxiety and mental health: Environmental activism as buffer
Schwartz et al. Present Psychology
Open Entry pdf 10.1007/s12144-022-02735-6

Local weather change impacts on human tradition

Past changes in natural and managed snow reliability of French Alps ski resorts from 1961 to 2019
Berard-Chenu et al. The Cryosphere
Open Entry pdf 10.5194/tc-16-863-2022

The impacts of climate change and urbanization on food retailers in urban sub-Saharan Africa
Blekking et al. Present Opinion in Environmental Sustainability
10.1016/j.cosust.2022.101169

Local weather change & geopolitics

(provisional hyperlink) Compound effects of climate change on future transboundary water issues in the Middle East

Different

Fragmented tipping in a spatially heterogeneous world
Bastiaansen et al. Environmental Analysis Letters
Open Entry 10.1088/1748-9326/ac59a8

(provisional hyperlink) Quantifying synergies and trade-offs in the global water-land-food-climate nexus using a multi-model scenario approach

Lightning activity in northern Europe during a stormy winter: disruptions of weather patterns originating in global climate phenomena
Kolmašová et al.
Open Entry pdf 10.5194/acp-2021-827

Humidity’s impact on greenhouse gas emissions from air conditioning
Woods et al. Joule
10.1016/j.joule.2022.02.013

Knowledgeable opinion, nudges & main initiatives

The human dimensions of the climate risk and armed conflict nexus: a review article
Augsten et al. Regional Environmental Change
10.1007/s10113-022-01888-1

Co-developing the IPCC frequently asked questions as an effective science communication tool
Connors et al. Climatic Change
Open Entry pdf 10.1007/s10584-021-03248-0

Beyond migration: a critical review of climate change induced displacement
Askland et al. Environmental Sociology
10.1080/23251042.2022.2042888

Living with Fire and the need for diversity
Stoof & Kettridge Earth’s Future
Open Entry pdf 10.1029/2021ef002528

Climate Risks of the Transition to a Renewable Energy Society: The Need for Extending the Research Agenda
Aall et al. Climate, Local weather, and Society
Open Entry pdf 10.1175/wcas-d-21-0055.1

Articles/Studies from Businesses and Non-Governmental Organizations Addressing Points of Local weather Change

Report on Opposition to Renewable Energy Facilities in the United States, Aidun et al., Sabin Heart for Local weather Change Regulation

Columbia Regulation Faculty’s Sabin Heart for Local weather Change Regulation has printed an replace to its Report on Opposition to Renewable Vitality Services in america, which paperwork native restrictions on and opposition to the siting of renewable vitality initiatives. The up to date report highlights 121 native insurance policies limiting new wind and photo voltaic throughout 31 states, together with 204 renewable initiatives which have been contested throughout 49 states, which symbolize 17.5% and 23.6% will increase over the report’s September 2021 replace. Mississippi was the one state with out recognized native opposition or restrictions.

Unpriced costs of flooding: An emerging risk for homeowners and lenders, Evans et al., Milliman

The authors discovered that flooding and will increase in flood threat on account of local weather change symbolize a significant potential publicity to householders and lenders supporting a presently sturdy mortgage market. The authors estimate that unpriced flood prices by figuring out the distinction between the current worth of flood prices both from flood insurance coverage premiums or uninsured flood damages and the precise flood prices priced into properties in the present day. Unpriced flood prices symbolize an precise value to customers as they pay out of pocket for flood damages and flood insurance coverage premiums which are possible not absolutely thought of when buying a house. These flood prices are estimated each in present circumstances and beneath future local weather states with consideration for each sea-level rise and precipitation modifications.

Climate Change According to the Perception of Brazilian CitizensInstitute for Expertise and Society of Rio and Inteligência em Pesquisa e Consultoria

The authors collected knowledge by way of a questionnaire survey on the Brazilian inhabitants’s notion of points associated to local weather and the surroundings, protecting subjects reminiscent of forest fires in Brazil, international warming, environmental preservation attitudes, and local weather change. The survey was performed from September 28 to November 1, 2021, with 2,600 contributors 18 years or older from all areas of the nation. The authors discovered that 8 in 10 Brazilians (81%) mentioned the problem of local weather change is “essential” to them, suggesting that local weather change could also be an element within the elections this fall. Though the diploma of significance diverse considerably by schooling, age, and political orientation, it was excessive amongst all teams. Politically, almost 9 out of 10 (88%) left and center-leaning Brazilians mentioned local weather change is an important challenge. Amongst Brazilians leaning to the appropriate of the political spectrum, 75% mentioned the problem is essential. The authors additionally discovered a powerful consensus on local weather change in Brazil whereby 96% of Brazilians mentioned local weather change is going on and 77% recognized human exercise as its main trigger. Likewise, most Brazilians (76%) mentioned that the majority scientists suppose international warming is going on. In contrast, in a fall 2021 survey within the U.S., fewer People mentioned international warming is going on (76%), is human-caused (60%), or that the majority scientists agree (59%).

Electrify for Peace Policy PlanRewiring America

The Electrify for Peace Coverage Plan is a three-part market transformation plan that bolsters American manufacturing and labor capability to: 1) assist Europe scale back its reliance on Russian oil and gasoline within the medium time period, and a pair of) assist lasting vitality safety within the U.S.

Conservation Practices on Cultivated Cropland. A Comparison of CEAP I and CEAP II Survey Data and Modeling Pure Assets Conservation Service

The U.S. Division of Agriculture’s Pure Assets Conservation Service (NRCS) evaluates conservation developments and results on cultivated cropland by way of the multiagency Conservation Results Evaluation Challenge (CEAP), a sampling and modeling method utilizing pure useful resource knowledge and farmer surveys. The primary set of farmer surveys was performed in 2003– 06 (CEAP I) with stories launched from 2010 by way of 2014. Now, comparability knowledge from farmer surveys performed in 2013–16 (CEAP II) make it doable to estimate conservation adoption and results between the CEAP survey intervals. Throughout the decade farmers more and more adopted superior expertise, together with enhanced-efficiency fertilizers and variable-rate fertilization to enhance effectivity and profit rural economies and the surroundings; extra environment friendly conservation tillage programs, significantly no-till, turned the dominant type of tillage, decreasing erosion and gas use; use of structural practices elevated, largely together with conservation tillage as farmers built-in a number of conservation remedies to realize efficiencies; conservation crop rotation and canopy crop use elevated, as did using high-biomass crops in rotation; irrigators shifted towards extra environment friendly pressure-based, and improved water administration methods decreased per-acre water software charges.

IEO2021 Issues in Focus: Energy Implications of Potential Iron and Steel-Sector Decarbonization Pathways, U.S. Vitality Data Administration

The authors discover the consequences on vitality demand of the metal business changing into an early adopter of renewable hydrogen and growing the share of metal produced utilizing electrical arc furnaces in China, Group for Financial Cooperation and Growth-Europe, Japan, and South Korea. The early adoption case assumes renewable-sourced hydrogen reaches value parity with fossil fuel-based hydrogen in 2030.

Resiliency and Natural Disaster Debris Workshop Final Summary Report, U.S. Environmental Safety Company

The report gives a abstract of themes and potential actions that emerged from digital workshop conversations held within the spring and summer time of 2021. The aim of the report is to supply highlights and recommended actions that contributors or others might implement to advance resiliency in planning for and managing pure catastrophe particles. The workshops have been attended by over 110 specialists on catastrophe particles planning and administration, catastrophe response, environmental justice, round economic system, deconstruction, and inexperienced constructing and included representatives from federal, state, native, tribal, and territorial governments, non-governmental organizations, and academia. Workshop contributors generated a variety of sensible steps the federal authorities and others can take to bridge gaps and drive innovation round catastrophe particles administration and resilience, together with decreasing the era of catastrophe particles; equitably and safely managing catastrophe particles; leveraging?funding sources; constructing a?group of?follow; creating a useful resource heart with technical help; and sharing and creating extra case research, finest practices, and pilot initiatives.

NATO and Climate Change: Better Late Than Never Jamie Shea, The German Marshall Fund of america

It has taken a while for the safety implications of local weather change to search out their approach on to the NATO agenda. This may be defined by the various safety challenges that the alliance has confronted within the twenty first century—a extra assertive Russia in NATO’s japanese neighborhood, the withdrawal from Afghanistan, the specter of cyberattacks and hybrid warfare campaigns, and now the implacable rise of China as a worldwide navy and technological energy. On the similar time, for a safety group used to reacting to—not anticipating—crises and to coping with concrete and imminent challenges, local weather change could properly have appeared tough to evaluate. There are numerous helpful roles that NATO can play and constructive issues that it may well do to assist deal with the safety implications of local weather change. But three circumstances will govern its effectiveness over the long term. First is sustaining focus. It’s all very properly getting a optimistic headline at a NATO summit for a fine-sounding declaration of excellent intent. However translating intentions into motion and concrete achievements is way tougher. Local weather change is all about taking selections and agreeing on insurance policies in the present day, with outcomes solely seen in two or three many years. A second situation of success is to construct the appropriate community. When tackling rising safety challenges, NATO has shortly realized that it must construct relationships with outdoors actors that always have experience and capabilities that the alliance doesn’t possess in home. Lastly, there’s the necessity for rigorous evaluation. In any massive paperwork there’s a tendency for course of to take over. Committee conferences, report writing, consultations with companions, and public diplomacy occasions are all vital for the coverage course of, however they will additionally create the phantasm of progress and what Ernest Hemingway described as activism slightly than exercise. NATO wants to determine benchmarks and timelines in all of the classes listed in its Local weather and Safety Motion Plan.

Act Now or Pay Later: The Costs of Climate Inaction for Ports and Shipping, Houtven et al., RTI Worldwide

To make clear future local weather impacts to the transport business, the authors discover two key questions:

• In what methods does local weather change influence the transport and port industries?

• How massive will the financial results of local weather change be on the transport and port industries if actions aren’t taken to scale back emissions?

The authors summarize present proof and estimates of the impacts and prices of climate-related hazards, in addition to expands on these findings to supply new estimates of the potential international prices of local weather change for transport and ports.


Acquiring articles with out journal subscriptions

We all know it is irritating that many articles we cite right here aren’t free to learn. One-off paid entry charges are usually astronomically priced, appropriate for reminiscent of On a Heuristic Point of View Concerning the Production and Transformation of Light”  however not as a big gamble on unknowns. With a median world revenue of US$ 9,373, for many of us US$ 42 is important cash to wager on an article’s relevance and significance. 

  • Unpaywall provides a browser extension for Chrome and Firefox that robotically signifies when an article is freely accessible and gives fast entry with out additional bother. Unpaywall can be unscammy, works properly, is itself supplied free to make use of. The organizers (a official nonprofit) report a couple of 50% success price
  • The weekly New Analysis catch is checked towards the Unpaywall database with accessible objects being flagged. Particularly for just-published articles this mechansim could fail. If you happen to’re considering an article title and it’s not listed right here as “open entry,” make sure you test the hyperlink anyway. 

How is New Analysis assembled?

Most articles showing listed here are discovered by way of  RSS feeds from journal publishers, filtered by search phrases to provide uncooked output for evaluation of relevance. 

Related articles are then queried towards the Unpaywall database, to determine open entry articles and expose helpful metadata for articles showing within the database. 

The target of New Analysis is not to solid a tinge on scientific outcomes, to paint readers’ impressions. Therefore candidate articles are assessed by way of two metrics solely:

  • Was an article deemed of adequate benefit by a staff of journal editors and peer reviewers? The actual fact of journal RSS output assigns a “sure” to this robotically. 
  • Is an article related to the subject of anthropogenic local weather change? As a consequence of filter overlap with different publication subjects of inquiry, of a typical week’s 550 or so enter articles about 1/4 of RSS output makes the lower.

A couple of journals provide public entry to “preprint” variations of articles for which the overview course of isn’t but full. For some key journals this all of the point out we’ll see in RSS feeds, so we embrace such objects in New Analysis. These are flagged as “preprint.”

The part “Knowledgeable opinion, nudges & main initiatives” consists of some objects that aren’t scientific analysis per se however fall as a substitute into the class of “views,” observations of implications of analysis findings, areas needing consideration, and so on.

What does (provisional hyperlink)” imply?

When the enter listing for New Analysis is processed, some articles don’t produce a consequence from the journal databases we make use of. Normally it is because the writer has not but equipped data to doi.org for the given article. In these circumstances and with a purpose to nonetheless embrace well timed itemizing of articles, we make use of an alternate search tactic. Whereas this technique is normally appropriate, typically the hyperlink proven will result in an incorrect vacation spot (obtainable time doesn’t all the time allow guide checking of those). We invite readers to submit corrections in feedback under.

Every version of New Analysis is reprocessed some two weeks after intitial publication to catch stragglers into the DOI ecosystem. Many “provisional hyperlinks” will find yourself being corrected as a part of this course of. 

Ideas

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Journals lined

A listing of journals we cowl could also be discovered here. We welcome tips that could omissions, new journals and so on.

Earlier version

The earlier version of Skeptical Science New Analysis could also be discovered here.

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